Winning Prediction

1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Köln

Bundesliga · 10 January 2026

Prediction: 1. FC Heidenheim Total Cards Under 2.5

Probability: 92%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: This is the most statistically consistent trend in the dataset. Heidenheim employs a passive defensive block (evidenced by high 'Total Clearances' rather than 'Total Tackles'), which naturally results in fewer fouls and disciplinary actions. They absorb pressure rather than aggressively breaking it up. Even in high-intensity games, they maintain composure.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: Disciplinary Form (Last 10): Heidenheim's yellow card count is remarkably low: 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3, 1. They stayed Under 2.5 cards in 90% of these matches. H2H History: In the last two meetings, Heidenheim received only 1 yellow card in each match, despite conceding 22 shots in one of them. Foul Count: They average ~10 fouls per game, which rarely translates to 3+ cards without a specific referee bias.

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