Winning Prediction

AE Larisa vs Asteras Aktor

Stoiximan Super League · 14 March 2026

Prediction: Asteras Aktor Total Team Shots Over 11.5

Probability: 75%

Why

Tactical Frustration & Volume Shooting. Asteras Aktor will control the tempo and territory (Final Third Entries often >60), but their "Shotmap" reveals an inability to penetrate the "Danger Zone". Instead of working the ball into the box, they settle for low-probability shots from "Long Range (>25m)" and "Close Range (Outside Box)". AE Larisa's passive block invites these shots. Asteras doesn't need to score to hit this line; they just need to keep shooting from distance.

Supporting stats

Against similar non-elite defensive blocks, Asteras recorded 15 (vs OFI), 18 (vs Levadiakos), 15 (vs AEK), and 15 (vs Atromitos) total shots. AE Larisa routinely allows opponents to reach double-digit shot volumes.

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