Winning Prediction

Arsenal vs Chelsea

Premier League · 6 September 2026

Prediction: Total Match Cards Over 4.5

Probability: 78%

Why

H2H card history — the single strongest predictor — averages 6.2 cards across the last 5 meetings with 4 of 5 producing ≥5 total cards, including two meetings with red cards.

Supporting stats

H2H card totals: 4, 6, 8 (7Y+1R), 6, 7 (6Y+1R); Chelsea yellow card avg last 10 = 2.7/match; combined projected yellow avg ~4.1/match before any red card contribution.

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