Winning Prediction

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Premier League · 31 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 67%

Why

Four of the last five H2H meetings between these sides produced at least 4 yellow cards, with Arsenal accumulating 12–18 fouls per H2H fixture and Villa's midfielders (Buendía, McGinn, Kamara) consistently logging 1–3 fouls per game in recent matches.

Supporting stats

H2H yellow card totals across last 5 meetings: 4, 5, 4, 2, 5 — four of five clear 3.5; Arsenal H2H fouls in last 3 meetings: 12, 10, 18; Aston Villa yellow cards in last 5 matches: 2, 0, 2, 1, 2 (accumulated in 4 of 5).

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