Winning Prediction
Auxerre vs Angers
Ligue 1 · 29 August 2026
Prediction: Total Match Cards Over 4.5
Probability: 72%
Why
H2H card totals across the last four meetings average exactly 5.0 (5, 4, 7, 4), meeting the strongest single-predictor trigger, backed by a combined recent foul average of 26.0 per match (Auxerre 15.5 + Angers 10.5) which clears the 22-per-match card accumulation threshold.
Supporting stats
H2H card totals: 5 (4Y+1Y), 4 (2Y+1Y+1R), 7 (2Y+4Y+1R), 4 (2Y+2Y) — avg 5.0; Auxerre fouls avg last 10: 15.5/match; combined projected fouls 26.0 > 22 trigger; most recent H2H at Auxerre produced 6 yellows + 1 red across both teams
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