Winning Prediction

Bologna vs Sassuolo

Serie A · 6 September 2026

Prediction: Bologna vs Sassuolo Total Match Fouls Over 20.5

Probability: 67%

Why

Combined recent foul averages of 24.4 per match clear the >24 trigger threshold, and Bologna's home possession dominance (58–71% in H2H) creates the >15pp possession gap that structurally forces Sassuolo into reactive fouling as the away underdog.

Supporting stats

Bologna fouls last 10 avg 12.2/match; Sassuolo fouls last 10 avg 12.2/match (combined 24.4); H2H combined fouls across last 4 meetings: 21, 21, 37, 27 — average 26.5, with 3 of 4 clearing 20.5

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