Winning Prediction

Burnley vs Brentford

Premier League · 28 February 2026

Prediction: Brentford Total Corners Over 4.5

Probability: 68%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: While Burnley doesn't concede a massive number of corners, the volume of Brentford's wide play forces the issue. Brentford's "Total Crosses" numbers are elite: 36 vs Forest, 29 vs Chelsea, 22 vs Sunderland. When a team pumps 20-30 crosses into the box, the opponent's "Total Clearances" skyrocket (Burnley avg ~27 clearances), leading to deflections behind the goal line.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: Recent Volume: Brentford's corner counts in their last 6 active games: 6, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9. H2H Consistency: Brentford recorded 5 corners in 2 of the last 3 H2H matches.

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