Winning Prediction
Cagliari vs Lecce
Serie A · 7 September 2026
Prediction: Cagliari vs Lecce Total Match Cards Over 3.5
Probability: 70%
Why
H2H card totals across the last four confirmed meetings produced 5, 9, 5, and 5 — averaging 6.0 per game, with three of four meetings returning exactly 5 or more total cards including yellows and reds.
Supporting stats
H2H combined cards avg = 6.0 (3/4 confirmed meetings ≥5 total cards with red cards present in two fixtures); Lecce's yellow card avg over last 10 matches = 2.2/match (peaks of 5 vs Hellas Verona, 4 vs Sassuolo); Lecce's Ylber Ramadani accumulated 5 tackles and 2 fouls vs Hellas Verona alone, typical of the physical away-underdog profile this fixture invites.
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