Winning Prediction

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Premier League · 30 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Corners Over 9.5

Probability: 76%

Why

All 5 H2H meetings between these clubs produced combined corner totals of 10, 10, 11, 12 and 11 — the H2H override rule is fully triggered with 5/5 clearances of the 9.5 line.

Supporting stats

H2H combined corners avg = 10.8 across last 5 meetings; Chelsea generated 9, 8 and 5 corners in the three most recent H2H fixtures; Brighton's touchesInOppBox exceeded 28 in 8 of their last 10 matches (31, 32, 39, 30, 29, 28, 36, 39)

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