Winning Prediction

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Premier League · 30 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 70%

Why

Chelsea's yellow card average of 2.8 per match combined with Brighton's 1.6 produces a combined projected total of 4.4 per game, and 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings produced 4 or more cards including one fixture with 8 yellows and another with 5.

Supporting stats

Chelsea yellow cards last 10 matches: 2, 2, 3, 1, 1, 4, 5, 3, 4, 3 (avg 2.8); H2H card totals across 5 meetings: 4, 5, 3, 8, 2 (avg 4.4 yellows); Chelsea vs Brighton H2H fouls avg 23.8, with individual matches reaching 27 combined

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