Winning Prediction

Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid

LaLiga · 30 August 2025

Prediction: Bet: Atlético Madrid Total Shots on Target Over 5.5

Probability: 80%

Why

Why this bet: Atlético Madrid's offensive metrics are exceptionally strong, characterized by high xG, numerous big chances created, and a high volume of shots. Against a deep-lying defensive team like Alavés, Atlético will be constantly probing the box and taking shots. The H2H data further supports this, as Alavés's goalkeeper has been forced to make an average of 4.25 saves per game against Atlético, indicating a high number of shots on target from Atleti.

Supporting stats

Supporting Stats: Atlético Madrid last 10 matches: Average 14-15 total shots, with 7-11 shots on target. Average 2.0+ xG and 4-5 big chances created. Head-to-Head (last 4 matches): Atlético Madrid registered significantly more total shots and shots on goal. Alavés's goalkeeper recorded 6, 2, 5, and 4 saves in the H2H matches, demonstrating Atleti's ability to test the keeper. Atlético Madrid's average 30.0 touches in the opponent's box (last 10) indicates frequent dangerous positions.

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