Winning Prediction

Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid

LaLiga · 30 August 2025

Prediction: Bet: Deportivo Alavés Total Shots Under 8.5

Probability: 70%

Why

Why this bet: Alavés's offensive output is severely limited against dominant teams that control possession and apply consistent pressure. Their tactical setup is primarily defensive, leading to low xG and few touches in the opponent's box. Against an Atlético Madrid side that stifles opposition attacks and maintains strong pressure, Alavés will struggle to create shooting opportunities.

Supporting stats

Supporting Stats: Deportivo Alavés last 10 matches: Average 10-11 total shots, but this drops significantly against top teams (3 shots vs Athletic Club, 8 shots vs Atlético Madrid in H2H). Head-to-Head (last 4 matches): Deportivo Alavés registered 4, 8, 8, and 8 total shots against Atlético Madrid. Atlético Madrid's high ball possession (avg 64.5% H2H) and consistent pressure momentum will limit Alavés's time on the ball in attacking areas. Alavés's low average xG (0.0 H2H) further indicates their struggle to generate quality chances.

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