Winning Prediction

Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal

LaLiga · 28 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 70%

Why

Combined recent foul averages of 25.0 per match (Alavés 14.0 + Villarreal 11.0) clear the >22 cards trigger, and Alavés have accumulated 4 or more yellow cards in 4 of their last 10 matches against physical opponents.

Supporting stats

Alavés yellowCards last 10: 4, 2, 1, 4, 6, 1, 1, 3, 4, 2 (avg 2.8); Villarreal yellowCards last 10 avg 1.9; H2H cards across last 5 meetings: 4, 7, 2, 2, 5 (two meetings produced ≥5); combined projected card avg ~4.7/match

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