Winning Prediction

Elche vs Real Sociedad

LaLiga · 7 September 2026

Prediction: Elche vs Real Sociedad Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 71%

Why

The combined recent yellow-card average of 5.0 per match (Real Sociedad 3.2 + Elche 1.8) clears the line outright, backed by both H2H meetings each producing exactly 4 cards and a combined foul average of 28.6 per match exceeding the 22-per-match card trigger.

Supporting stats

Real Sociedad yellowCards last 10 avg = 3.2/match (including 7, 4, 4, 3, 3); Elche yellowCards last 10 avg = 1.8/match; H2H combined yellows: 4 (RS 0 + Elche 4) and 4 (Elche 1 + RS 3) — both clearing 3.5; combined foul avg 28.6 (Elche 15.0 + RS 13.6).

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