Winning Prediction

Everton vs Leeds United

Premier League · 26 January 2026

Prediction: Bet: Both Teams to Score - YES

Probability: 85%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: While Everton struggles for possession, their home games have become chaotic shootouts recently. Their last 6 home fixtures include scorelines of 1-4, 2-4, 3-0, and 1-4, showing a complete inability to keep clean sheets combined with a desperation to score. Leeds creates high xG (2.67 vs Palace, 2.17 vs Sunderland) but has a porous defense, conceding in 8 of their last 10 matches. The tactical friction of Leeds' high line vs Everton's desperation creates a perfect storm for goals at both ends.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: Everton Home Form: Failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of the last 6 home games. Leeds Away Form: BTTS has hit in 5 of their last 6 away matches (1-1, 1-1, 4-3, 3-2, 1-1). Big Chances: Leeds created 4+ Big Chances in 3 of their last 5 games, ensuring they will likely score.

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