Winning Prediction

FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bundesliga · 12 September 2026

Prediction: FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Total Match Fouls Under 20.5

Probability: 68%

Why

H2H combined foul totals across all 5 meetings averaged just 16.4, with every single meeting producing fewer than 21 combined fouls, structurally suppressed by Leverkusen's possession-based control that reduces reactive fouling cycles.

Supporting stats

H2H combined fouls: 14, 17, 20, 18, 13 (avg 16.4; all 5 below 20.5); Augsburg's individual foul avg last 10 = 8.8/match; Leverkusen's individual foul avg last 10 = 8.5/match (combined projected 17.3, well below the line).

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