Winning Prediction

FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Union Berlin

Bundesliga · 18 September 2026

Prediction: FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Total Match Fouls Under 20.5

Probability: 72%

Why

The combined H2H foul average across all 5 meetings is just 13.8 per match — with 4 of 5 fixtures producing under 20.5 combined fouls — and the combined individual recent foul averages (Bayern 8.3 + Union 10.3 = 18.6 projected) sit well below the line, consistent with Bayern's extreme possession dominance suppressing Union's ability to sustain organised fouling phases.

Supporting stats

H2H combined fouls: 11, 21, 13, 8, 16 — avg 13.8 (4/5 under 20.5); Bayern fouls avg last 10: 8.3/match; Union fouls avg last 10: 10.3/match (combined projected 18.6).

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