Winning Prediction

FC St. Pauli vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bundesliga · 27 September 2025

Prediction: Bet: Total Cards Over 4.5

Probability: 72%

Why

Why this bet: Both teams have shown a tendency for disciplinary issues. St. Pauli is consistently foul-prone and accumulates cards, especially when under pressure. Leverkusen, while generally disciplined, has also seen high card counts in intense matches, including red cards. The head-to-head clashes have also been feisty, leading to multiple cards.

Supporting stats

Supporting Stats: FC St. Pauli: Average 12 fouls per game in last 7 matches. Received 4, 3, 6, 2 yellow cards and 1, 2 red cards in recent games. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Average 10.8 fouls per game in last 8 matches. Received 2, 4, 2, 6, 5 yellow cards and 2 red cards in recent games. Head-to-Head: Total cards in H2H matches were 4 and 5 (yellow cards only). The high foul counts in H2H (18 and 24 total fouls) further support this.

Aurora Bet AI – verified winning football predictions and sports analytics.