Winning Prediction

FK Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd

Mozzart Bet Superliga · 14 February 2026

Prediction: Total Fouls Over 26.5

Probability: 85%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: The tactical friction here is immense. FK Novi Pazar has a critically low Won Tackle % (ranging 7-13% in recent games), indicating they often mistime challenges and commit fouls to stop transitions. Conversely, OFK's midfield (specifically Jay Enem and Edmund Addo) are high-volume duelists who draw significant fouls. The H2H history confirms this fixture is a physical war of attrition.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: H2H War Zone: The last 4 direct clashes saw foul totals of 33, 28, 31, and 29 (Avg: 30.25). Novi Pazar Aggression: Committed 19, 15, 18, and 22 fouls in recent competitive home fixtures. Player Matchups: Jay Enem (OFK) was fouled 7 times vs Spartak and 4 times vs Vojvodina.

Aurora Bet AI – verified winning football predictions and sports analytics.