Winning Prediction

FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Javor Ivanjica

Mozzart Bet Superliga · 14 March 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Over 27.5

Probability: 85%

Why

"Frustration Friction". FK Javor Ivanjica plays a deep block with low possession (averaging 30-40% away) and relies heavily on tactical fouling to disrupt rhythm. Javor's `Wontacklepercent` is critically low (e.g., 5% vs IMT, 9% vs Napredak), meaning their defensive challenges are frequently late, resulting in fouls rather than clean ball recoveries. Conversely, Radnik presses high at home to stop counter-attacks, committing their own share of tactical fouls.

Supporting stats

The H2H history is a bloodbath. The last 4 direct meetings produced foul totals of 23, 27, 44, and 37 (Average: 32.75 fouls/game). Javor alone committed 25 and 26 fouls in two of those matches. Radnik averages ~16 fouls per game at home.

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