Winning Prediction
FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Napredak Kruševac
Mozzart Bet Superliga · 21 February 2026
Prediction: Bet: FK Napredak Kruševac - Total Yellow Cards Over 2.5
Probability: 85%
Why
Tactical Reasoning: Napredak is experiencing a "Discipline Collapse." When a team loses possession dominance (avg <45% away) and is on a losing streak, the defensive workload falls on individual tackles rather than structural pressing. Players like Stefan Bukorac (5 fouls vs Radnički) and Aleksandar Lutovac (4 fouls vs Novi Pazar) are statistically prone to late tackles when bypassed.
Supporting stats
Supporting Evidence: Recent Discipline: Napredak received 7 Yellow Cards vs Železničar, 6 vs Radnički Niš, 6 vs Čukarički, and 6 vs Partizan. H2H Friction: In 2 of the last 3 H2H meetings, Napredak received 3+ cards (4 and 3).
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