Winning Prediction

FK Spartak Subotica vs FK Javor Ivanjica

Mozzart Bet Superliga · 4 April 2026

Prediction: FK Javor Ivanjica Total Team Cards Over 2.5

Probability: 75%

Why

"Discipline Collapse in Deep Blocks". This is a direct derivative of the foul thesis (Rank 1). Because Javor's tackle efficiency is so poor (averaging ~10% Won Tackle %), their defenders are mathematically forced into late, card-worthy challenges. When a team commits 15-20+ fouls primarily to stop attacks rather than contest 50/50 balls, the referee is forced to issue cards for persistent infringement and tactical fouling.

Supporting stats

In their last 5 away matches, Javor has received a massive number of cards: 2 (vs Radnički 1923), 2 (vs Napredak), 3 (vs IMT), 6 (5Y, 1R vs Radnik), and 4 (3Y, 1R vs Radnički Niš). Their aggressive, disruptive away style guarantees referee intervention.

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