Winning Prediction

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga · 6 September 2026

Prediction: Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 71%

Why

Both available H2H meetings produced exactly 5 yellow cards each (H2H average = 5.0), fully triggering the ≥5 H2H card history rule — the system's strongest single cards predictor.

Supporting stats

H2H card totals: HSV 2 + Mainz 3 = 5 (meeting 1); Mainz 3 + HSV 2 = 5 (meeting 2); HSV recent yellow card avg 1.9/match + Mainz 1.3/match = 3.2 combined projected baseline.

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