Winning Prediction

Inter vs Monza

Serie A · 22 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Under 22.5

Probability: 67%

Why

Both H2H meetings at Inter's ground produced combined foul totals of 15 and 21 — well below a 22.5 line — consistent with Inter's low-foul home profile (8, 9, 9, 11 fouls in 4 of last 5 home matches).

Supporting stats

H2H combined fouls at Inter home: 8+7=15 and 8+13=21; Inter's own fouls in last 5 home fixtures: 17, 9, 11, 11, 9 (avg 11.4); Monza's fouls in away fixtures: 5, 8, 9, 11 (avg 8.3 in strongest away samples).

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