Winning Prediction

Inter vs SSC Napoli

Serie A · 5 September 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Under 22.5

Probability: 68%

Why

Both teams' combined recent foul averages project only 18.4 fouls per match — well below any standard line — with Inter's disciplined home foul counts (5, 9, 11, 17 in home matches) and Napoli's low foul output (3, 7, 8, 9, 10 in last 5) confirming structural foul suppression.

Supporting stats

Inter fouls avg last 10 = 10.3/match; Napoli fouls avg last 10 = 8.1/match; combined projected average 18.4 — over 4 fouls below a 22.5 line; Inter's last 3 home matches produced just 17, 9, and 5 fouls respectively.

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