Winning Prediction

Lazio vs AC Milan

Serie A · 12 September 2026

Prediction: Lazio vs AC Milan Total Cards Over 4.5

Probability: 77%

Why

H2H card history — the single strongest predictor — averages 7.4 total cards across all 5 meetings with all 5 fixtures producing 5 or more total cards including red cards in multiple encounters.

Supporting stats

H2H combined cards: 5 (3Y+1R+1Y), 11Y+3R, 6Y, 7Y, 5Y (avg 7.4; 5/5 ≥5 cards); Lazio yellowCards avg last 10 = 2.3/match; Milan yellowCards avg last 10 = 2.0/match (combined 4.3 yellows projected before any red card contribution)

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