Winning Prediction

Lecce vs Bologna

Serie A · 28 September 2025

Prediction: Bet: Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna) Over 0.5 Shots on Target

Probability: 70%

Why

Why this bet: Riccardo Orsolini is a pivotal attacking force for Bologna, consistently featuring in their offensive plays and demonstrating a clear intent to shoot. His role in a possession-dominant, attacking system ensures he will have ample opportunities to register shots on target against a Lecce defense that is likely to be under siege.

Supporting stats

Supporting Stats: Orsolini's Goal Contributions: Orsolini has scored 3 goals in his last 5 Bologna appearances (vs Inter, Fiorentina, Genoa), indicating his sharp shooting form. Shotmap Presence: Orsolini appears frequently in Bologna's "Shotmap Summary," with multiple recorded shots on target and goals from various positions (e.g., goal from X=37, Y=9 vs Inter; goal from X=32, Y=3 vs Fiorentina). Bologna's Offensive Volume: Bologna averages 11.5 total shots per game in their last 10 matches, ensuring that their main attackers like Orsolini will be heavily involved in shooting opportunities. Lecce Goalkeeper Activity: Lecce's goalkeeper, Wladimiro Falcone, averages 3.5 saves per game in Lecce's last 10 matches, suggesting he faces a good number of shots on target.

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