Winning Prediction

Lecce vs Cremonese

Serie A · 8 March 2026

Prediction: Cremonese Total Team Fouls Over 12.5

Probability: 78%

Why

Cremonese operates as a "Disruption Unit." When they lose the ball (which happens often due to low pass accuracy), they immediately resort to tactical fouling to prevent counters. Their defensive metrics show a low "Tackle Win %" (often <10%), forcing them to commit fouls when bypassed. Lecce's midfield (Ramadani/Banda) has high "Was Fouled" stats, drawing contact in the middle third.

Supporting stats

H2H Friction: Cremonese committed 15 fouls in the last direct H2H clash. Aggression Profile: In competitive matches against similar or superior opposition, Cremonese's foul counts were 19 (Inter), 16 (Cagliari), 14 (Milan), 14 (Sassuolo), 19 (Fiorentina). Consistency: They cleared the 12.5 line in 60% of the provided sample, but the H2H and opponent profile (Lecce draws fouls) boost the probability.

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