Winning Prediction

Lecce vs Monza

Serie A · 13 September 2026

Prediction: Lecce vs Monza Total Match Fouls Over 22.5

Probability: 71%

Why

All 4 available H2H meetings produced combined fouls of 28, 28, 31, and 32 — every fixture comfortably above the line with an average of 29.75, while combined individual form averages also clear the structural trigger.

Supporting stats

H2H combined fouls: 28, 28, 31, 32 (4/4 above 22.5, avg 29.75); Lecce fouls avg last 10 = 12.4/match + Monza fouls avg last 10 = 11.7/match = combined 24.1, exceeding the >24 trigger threshold.

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