Winning Prediction

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace

Premier League · 20 September 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Under 20.5

Probability: 67%

Why

The combined recent foul average of just 18.7 per match (Leeds 10.4 + Crystal Palace 8.3) projects comfortably below the line, confirmed by the H2H average of only 19 combined fouls across both meetings (15 and 23), with the lower fixture producing just 15 total fouls.

Supporting stats

Leeds fouls avg last 10 = 10.4/match (values including lows of 5, 7, 8, 9); Crystal Palace fouls avg last 10 = 8.3/match (values including lows of 5, 5, 6, 7, 7); H2H combined foul totals: 15 and 23, averaging 19.0.

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