Winning Prediction

Leeds United vs Newcastle United

Premier League · 14 September 2026

Prediction: Leeds United vs Newcastle United Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 67%

Why

The combined recent yellow card average of 3.9 per match already clears the 3.5 line before any red card contribution, supported by a combined fouls average of 22.3 per match which sits at the card-trigger threshold and is backed by the H2H 4-3 fixture producing 5 yellow cards alone.

Supporting stats

Leeds yellow card avg last 10 = 1.7/match; Newcastle yellow card avg last 10 = 2.2/match (combined projected 3.9); H2H Newcastle 4-3 Leeds: 5 total yellow cards (Newcastle 3 + Leeds 2); combined fouls avg = 22.3/match (Leeds 11.1 + Newcastle 11.2).

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