Winning Prediction

Levante UD vs Sevilla

LaLiga · 22 April 2026

Prediction: Levante UD Total Team Fouls Over 12.5

Probability: 80%

Why

"Frustration Friction & Transition Stopping". Because Sevilla will dictate the tempo and territory (projected 55-60% possession), Levante's defensive unit will spend the majority of the match shifting and chasing shadows. Due to Levante's critically low 'Won Tackle %', their defenders will constantly be late to ground duels, forcing them into cynical tactical fouls to disrupt Sevilla's rhythm in the middle third.

Supporting stats

Levante's tackle win rate consistently sits between 5% and 13%. Because they cannot win the ball cleanly, their foul counts are consistently high regardless of the opponent: 11, 15, 10, 14, 17, 15, 12, 13, and 13 in their last 9 matches. They average 13.3 fouls per game and are mathematically guaranteed to hit this line when starved of possession.

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