Winning Prediction

Liverpool FC vs Nottingham Forest

Premier League · 29 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 71%

Why

Combined average fouls of 23.3 per match (Liverpool 11.2 + Forest 12.1) clears the 22-trigger threshold, and Nottingham Forest's away possession in this H2H consistently sits below 35% (29%, 29%, 31%), generating the away-underdog tackle and card accumulation pattern.

Supporting stats

NF away totalTackle in H2H at Liverpool: 20 and 27; H2H at Liverpool produced 8 yellow cards in one meeting and 2 in another; NF avg fouls in last 10: 15, 13, 15, 16, 8, 11, 15 — persistent mid-to-high foul output across most matches.

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