Winning Prediction

Liverpool vs Newcastle United

Premier League · 31 January 2026

Prediction: Total Corners Over 9.5

Probability: 85%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: This is a classic "Attack vs Block" mismatch. Liverpool's "Final Third Entries" are exceptionally high (avg 82.4 in last 5 home games), but they face a Newcastle side with a high "Total Clearance" count (avg 31.8 in last 5). When Liverpool's high volume of shots (avg 21.2 at home) meets Newcastle's deep defensive block, the result is deflected shots and clearances leading to corners. Additionally, Newcastle's counter-attacking style has seen them earn significant corners recently (11 vs Spurs, 9 vs Burnley), contributing to the total.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: H2H Corner Synergy: In the last 5 H2H meetings, the total corner counts were 14, 10, 8, 11, 6 (Avg 9.8). Recent Form: Newcastle's last 3 matches saw corner totals of 13 (vs Burnley), 19 (vs Spurs), and 12 (vs Chelsea). Liverpool Home Pressure: Liverpool consistently hits high corner counts at home (7, 2, 6, 8, 8).

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