Winning Prediction

Mallorca vs Deportivo Alavés

LaLiga · 28 September 2025

Prediction: Bet: Mallorca - Total Goals Under 1.5

Probability: 80%

Why

Why this bet: Mallorca exhibits a consistent pattern of offensive inefficiency. Despite varying possession levels, their expected goals (xG) remain low, and they struggle to convert the few big chances they create. This struggle is particularly evident in their head-to-head record against Alavés, where they've underperformed their xG significantly in past losses.

Supporting stats

Supporting Stats: Mallorca average goals scored (last 6 matches): 1.17 goals per game. Mallorca average xG (last 6 matches): 0.76 per game, indicating a difficulty in creating high-quality scoring opportunities. Mallorca average shots on target (last 6 matches): 2.33 per game. In H2H matches, Mallorca's average goals scored is 0.75 per game. Notably, in one 2-1 loss, Mallorca had an xG of 2.0 but only scored 1 goal, highlighting conversion issues against Alavés. Mallorca's low "touches in opponent box" (avg 13.67 in last 6) further supports their limited offensive presence.

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