Winning Prediction

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest

Premier League · 4 March 2026

Prediction: Nottingham Forest Team Total Tackles Over 16.5

Probability: 72%

Why

Low possession guarantees high defensive volume. With City expected to hold ~65-70% possession, Forest will spend the entire match engaging in duels. Their "Wontacklepercent" is low (~10%), meaning they have to attempt more tackles to win the ball.

Supporting stats

H2H Workload: In the last 5 meetings, Forest's tackle counts were 17, 24, 15, 18, and 21. They cleared 16.5 in 80% of matches. Away Intensity: Recorded 19 Tackles vs Aston Villa and 18 vs Brentford.

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