Winning Prediction

Monza vs Sassuolo

Serie A · 18 September 2026

Prediction: Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 70%

Why

Combined yellow card projection of ~3.8 per match (Monza 1.7/match + Sassuolo ~2.1/match) already clears the 3.5 line before any red card contribution, supported by a combined foul average of 22.0/match that sits at the card-trigger threshold.

Supporting stats

Monza yellow card avg last 10 = 1.7/match (peaks: 4, 3, 3); Sassuolo yellow card avg last 10 ≈ 2.1/match (peaks: 4, 3, 3); H2H meeting at Monza produced 4 combined yellows (Monza 1 + Sassuolo 3).

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