Winning Prediction

Monza vs Sassuolo

Serie A · 18 September 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Under 20.5

Probability: 67%

Why

The two available H2H meetings produced combined foul totals of just 21 and 18 — averaging 19.5 per game — both at or below a standard Under 20.5 line, confirming a structurally low-foul fixture between these sides regardless of their individual averages.

Supporting stats

H2H combined fouls: 21 (Monza 8 + Sassuolo 13) and 18 (Sassuolo 8 + Monza 10), H2H avg = 19.5; Monza individual foul avg last 10 = 11.0/match; Sassuolo individual foul avg last 10 = 11.0/match (combined projected 22.0, yet H2H consistently delivers below 20.5).

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