Winning Prediction

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth

Premier League · 5 September 2026

Prediction: Double Chance — Draw or Bournemouth (X2)

Probability: 71%

Why

Bournemouth are unbeaten in all five H2H meetings (2W 3D 0L) and outperform Newcastle across three qualifying metrics simultaneously: H2H record, bigChanceCreated (4, 4, 3 vs Newcastle's 2, 2, 1 in last three H2H), and xG (Bournemouth holds equal or superior xG in 4 of 5 H2H fixtures).

Supporting stats

Newcastle's current form: 3W 2D 5L in last 10, including 3 losses in last 4 matches; Bournemouth bigChanceCreated in H2H: 3, 4, 4 vs Newcastle's 2, 2, 1 across last three meetings; Bournemouth xG 2, 2, 2 vs Newcastle's 0, 1, 2 in the same three H2H fixtures.

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