Winning Prediction

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth

Premier League · 5 September 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Over 22.5

Probability: 68%

Why

H2H combined foul totals average 25.0 per match across the last five meetings, with four of five fixtures clearing the 22.5 line, anchored by Bournemouth committing 23, 18, and 20 fouls in three of those H2H encounters.

Supporting stats

H2H combined fouls: 32, 23, 25, 28, 17 (avg 25.0; 4/5 above 22.5); Bournemouth committed 23 fouls in the most recent H2H at Newcastle; Bournemouth's away foul avg of 12.5/match (Arsenal 18, Newcastle 12, Fulham 21, Nottm Forest 7, Man City 11) combined with Newcastle's home avg of 10.1 projects 22.6 per match.

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