Winning Prediction

Newcastle United vs Everton

Premier League · 28 February 2026

Prediction: Newcastle United Total Shots Over 13.5

Probability: 88%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: Regardless of the scoreline, Newcastle's "Tactical DNA" at St. James' Park is built on high shot volume. Even in losses (e.g., 0-2 vs Aston Villa), they generated 15 shots. Everton's defensive structure allows opponents to shoot from range (conceded 16 shots to Fulham, 15 to Burnley), trusting their block to handle the quality.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: H2H Volume: Newcastle has recorded 18, 13, 14, 13, and 17 shots in the last 5 H2H meetings. They have hit 13+ shots in 100% of recent H2H games. Home Form: Recent home shot totals: 12, 18, 16, 15.

Aurora Bet AI – verified winning football predictions and sports analytics.