Winning Prediction

Newcastle United vs Liverpool FC

Premier League · 23 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Cards Over 4.5

Probability: 70%

Why

The last 4 H2H meetings between these clubs averaged 5.5 cards (7+8+6+1÷4), meeting the ≥5 H2H average trigger, with Liverpool committing 23 tackles and 17 fouls in the most recent meeting at Newcastle — a physical, high-tackle contest that consistently produces card accumulation.

Supporting stats

H2H last 4 meetings card totals: 7, 8, 6, 1 (avg 5.5); Newcastle's wontacklepercent averaged just 9% across last 5 matches; Liverpool's Alexis Mac Allister committed 5 fouls in a single recent fixture (Chelsea)

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