Winning Prediction

Nice vs Lille

Ligue 1 · 20 September 2026

Prediction: Nice vs Lille Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 73%

Why

All 5 of the last 5 H2H meetings produced a minimum of 4 yellow cards combined — the system's single strongest cards predictor — triggering the H2H override rule at maximum frequency.

Supporting stats

H2H yellow card totals across last 5 meetings: 4, 4, 7 (incl. 1 red), 4, 6 (5/5 ≥4 cards; avg 5.0); Lille's yellow card avg across last 10 = 1.9/match vs Nice's 1.2/match (combined projected 3.1 yellows as floor before any red card contribution).

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