Winning Prediction

Nice vs Lorient

Ligue 1 · 22 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Under 21.5

Probability: 68%

Why

Combined recent foul averages for both teams total just 20.9 per match, and all four available H2H meetings produced combined fouls of 18, 18, 19, and 18 — consistently well below any standard market line around 21-22.

Supporting stats

Nice 10-match foul avg: 11.7; Lorient 10-match foul avg: 9.2 (combined 20.9); H2H combined fouls across last 4 meetings: 19, 18, 18, 18 (avg 18.3)

Aurora Bet AI – verified winning football predictions and sports analytics.