Winning Prediction

OFI Crete vs AE Larisa

Stoiximan Super League · 28 February 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Over 26.5

Probability: 85%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: The "Tactical Friction" in this matchup is immense. AE Larisa averages a staggering ~18 fouls per game in recent away fixtures, utilizing tactical fouling to break up play. Surprisingly, OFI Crete also engages physically at home against mid-tier teams, recording 15, 16, 15, and 17 fouls in their recent home wins. This is not a "clean" technical game; it is a battle for midfield control.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: H2H War: The last direct meeting produced 36 Total Fouls (23 Larisa, 13 OFI). Larisa's Aggression: Committed 26 fouls vs Aris and 22 fouls vs Volos. OFI's Engagement: Committed 17 fouls vs Levadiakos and 16 vs Panserraikos at home.

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