Winning Prediction

OFI Crete vs AE Larisa

Stoiximan Super League · 28 February 2026

Prediction: AE Larisa Card Handicap -0.5 (Most Cards)

Probability: 75%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: While OFI commits fouls, they are tactical and often in non-dangerous areas, resulting in low card counts at home (1 vs Panetolikos, 1 vs Asteras, 1 vs Levadiakos). AE Larisa, chasing the game and possession, commits desperate fouls that draw cards. The disparity in "Card Efficiency" (Fouls per Card) makes Larisa the overwhelming favorite to win the card count.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: OFI Discipline: Received 1 Yellow Card in 3 of their last 4 home wins. Larisa Indiscipline: Received 3+ Yellow Cards in 80% of their recent matches. H2H: Larisa "won" the card count 4-3 even when playing at home; away, this gap should widen.

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