Winning Prediction

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC

Ligue 1 · 6 September 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Under 22.5

Probability: 68%

Why

Both teams carry low individual foul averages that combine to just 20.3 per match, and the H2H fixture played at OM's ground produced only 21 combined fouls — well inside this line.

Supporting stats

OM fouls avg last 10 = 11.3/match; Paris FC fouls avg last 10 = 9.0/match (combined projected 20.3); H2H at OM home: OM 9 + Paris FC 12 = 21 combined fouls, landing under 22.5.

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