Winning Prediction

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain

Ligue 1 · 20 September 2026

Prediction: Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 66%

Why

3 of the last 5 H2H meetings produced 4 or more total cards, and the combined yellow card average of ~3.5 per match already sits at the line before any red card contribution.

Supporting stats

H2H card totals across last 5 meetings: ~2, 1, 5, 4, 4 (3/5 at ≥4); OM yellow card avg last 10 = 2.1/match vs PSG 1.4/match (combined projected 3.5 minimum); OM recorded 4 yellows vs Nice and 3 vs Nantes confirming accumulation capacity in high-intensity home matches.

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