Winning Prediction
Olympique Lyonnais vs Stade Rennais
Ligue 1 · 19 September 2026
Prediction: Olympique Lyonnais vs Stade Rennais Total Match Cards Over 3.5
Probability: 70%
Why
The combined recent foul average of 24.0 per match (Lyon 11.1 + Rennais 12.9) clears the >22-per-match card trigger, and Rennais have averaged 1.6 yellow cards per match with peaks of 3 in three of their last 10 fixtures.
Supporting stats
Combined projected fouls 24.0/match (Lyon avg 11.1 + Rennais avg 12.9 across last 10); Rennais yellow cards in last 10: 3, 0, 3, 3, 1, 3, 0, 1, 1, 1 (avg 1.6); H2H card totals across last 4 meetings: 3, 4, 5, 3 (avg 3.75, with one match producing 5 including a red).
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