Winning Prediction

Parma vs Cremonese

Serie A · 22 March 2026

Prediction: Cremonese Total Team Fouls Over 13.5

Probability: 85%

Why

"Frustration Friction." Cremonese exhibits a catastrophic inability to win the ball cleanly, highlighted by an abysmal 'Won Tackle %'. When this broken defensive mechanic meets Parma's highly technical, dribble-heavy attackers, Cremonese's midfield is forced to commit cynical, tactical fouls to stop transitions rather than attempting clean ball recoveries.

Supporting stats

Cremonese's 'Won Tackle %' frequently drops below 10% (it was exactly 4% in the recent H2H). Consequently, they committed 16 fouls in that direct matchup. Parma's Gabriel Strefezza and Mateo Pellegrino are absolute foul magnets, consistently combining for 4 to 8 'Was Fouled' (WF) metrics per game.

Aurora Bet AI – verified winning football predictions and sports analytics.